Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.210197 0.233342 0.257216 0.283627 0.311971 0.341421 0.374280
2024-12-29 0.183396 0.215609 0.250181 0.289863 0.333968 0.381305 0.435770
2025-01-05 0.160495 0.198561 0.240861 0.290966 0.348309 0.411501 0.486015
2025-01-12 0.141914 0.184058 0.232399 0.291294 0.360437 0.438381 0.532209
2025-01-19 0.125676 0.170500 0.223476 0.289711 0.369290 0.460825 0.573031
2025-01-26 0.114270 0.161567 0.219002 0.292490 0.382587 0.488039 0.619317
2025-02-02 0.106971 0.156971 0.219171 0.300379 0.401690 0.522035 0.673813
2025-02-09 0.097624 0.148867 0.214208 0.301267 0.411776 0.544967 0.715084
2025-02-16 0.091472 0.144414 0.213430 0.307048 0.427687 0.574917 0.765001
2025-02-23 0.086908 0.141692 0.214573 0.315050 0.446284 0.608229 0.819302
2025-03-02 0.079025 0.133701 0.208140 0.312653 0.451221 0.624315 0.852269
2025-03-09 0.073321 0.128368 0.204914 0.314167 0.460967 0.646334 0.892676
2025-03-16 0.066881 0.121631 0.199558 0.312785 0.467121 0.664251 0.928748
2025-03-23 0.063285 0.118896 0.199625 0.318687 0.482912 0.694654 0.980982
2025-03-30 0.058491 0.113924 0.196154 0.319408 0.491590 0.715823 1.021554
2025-04-06 0.053954 0.108991 0.192423 0.319490 0.499223 0.735570 1.060392
2025-04-13 0.049325 0.103523 0.187553 0.317642 0.503981 0.751416 1.094188
2025-04-20 0.046252 0.100413 0.186054 0.320524 0.515226 0.775916 1.139481
2025-04-27 0.044694 0.099781 0.188306 0.328903 0.534254 0.811026 1.199084
2025-05-04 0.041588 0.096169 0.185663 0.329822 0.542618 0.831743 1.239745
2025-05-11 0.039821 0.094828 0.186536 0.335980 0.558488 0.862779 1.294416
2025-05-18 0.038646 0.094486 0.188969 0.344515 0.577858 0.898777 1.356051
2025-05-25 0.035406 0.089977 0.184327 0.341949 0.580969 0.912348 1.387538